AI Commute Analysis: The Next Frontier in Office Site Selection

15 September, 2025 / Alan Rosinsky

I’ve been helping companies find office space in this city for over two decades now and can tell you something that might surprise you: most of the firms I work with, even the smart ones, largely overlook commute analysis.

I’m talking about companies that will spend months agonizing over square footage per employee, debating whether they need a corner conference room, or negotiating over parking spots they’ll never use. But ask them how their site selection will actually impact their people’s daily commute? You’ll get a shrug and maybe some hand-waving about “being near transit.”

When you’re a scrappy 8-person startup working in a loft, sure, you can eyeball it. Sarah lives in Brooklyn, Mike’s in Queens, and the founder’s on the Upper West Side. You can probably find something that works for everyone without breaking out a calculator.

But once you hit 30, 50, 100+ employees scattered across the tri-state area? That’s when I’ve watched companies make million-dollar mistakes. I’ve seen teams lose their best talent six months after a move because nobody thought to map out what that “convenient” Midtown South location would mean for someone commuting from New Jersey. I’ve watched the productivity tank because half the staff is now spending an extra hour each way getting to the office.

The wild part is, we’re in 2025. AI can predict what I’m going to order for lunch based on my browsing history. However, tenants essentially still pick office locations the same way they did in 1995—with gut instinct and a MetroCard.

Why Commute Matters (But Companies Don’t Treat It That Way)

Here’s what tends to confuse me about most office searches: everyone knows commute matters, but almost nobody treats it like the make-or-break factor it really is.

I’ve sat through hundreds of site selection meetings where teams will spend two hours debating open layouts and exactly zero minutes mapping out what their location choice means for people trying to get to work every day.

The commute conversation usually goes something like this: “Well, it’s near the subway.” End of analysis. Meanwhile, these same companies will hire consultants to optimize their coffee machine placement and run focus groups on office furniture.

The disconnect is staggering.

When Prestige Beats Convenience (And Should)

Sometimes the commute takes a backseat, and that’s completely fine. But only when it’s a deliberate choice. I’ve placed companies at Hudson Yards, in the Plaza District, at One World Trade Center, knowing full well that the move would add 20-30 minutes to most employees’ daily commute.

Why did they do it? Because address matters. When you’re trying to recruit top talent or impress clients, saying your office is in Hudson Yards carries weight that “near the L train” simply doesn’t. I’ve watched junior employees practically glow when they tell people they work “right by Central Park” or “downtown at the World Trade Center.”

The key difference? These companies knew exactly what they were trading away. They ran the numbers, understood the commute impact, and decided the prestige was worth it. That’s strategic thinking, not wishful thinking.

Building Character Versus Building Convenience

The type of office space you’re in completely changes how people feel about their work environment. I’ve seen teams move from sterile high-rise boxes to converted loft spaces with 14-foot ceilings, exposed brick, and windows that actually open. Same neighborhood, longer commute to get there, but a night-and-day difference in daily experience.

Traditional high-rises near major transit hubs are convenient, sure. But if your company culture thrives in open, creative spaces with character and natural light, a slightly less convenient loft might be worth the trade-off.

The problem is that most companies stumble into these decisions instead of weighing them methodically.

Safety and Vibe Can’t Be Spreadsheet-Analyzed

Some factors override commute convenience in ways you can’t quantify until you experience them. How does the neighborhood feel when your team is working late? Can employees comfortably grab dinner after work or meet friends nearby? Does the building have proper security, or can anyone wander the halls?

I’ve seen companies choose locations that added commute time because the area felt safer, more vibrant, and more aligned with their company culture. These are legitimate business considerations. Yet, once again, only when they’re conscious trade-offs based on actual analysis rather than happy accidents.

The Amenity Ecosystem Effect

Walkable dining, shopping, parks, gyms, etc. These amenities can absolutely justify a less optimal commute. When your team can grab decent lunch within three blocks, run errands during the day, or decompress in a nearby park, the office becomes part of a larger ecosystem instead of an isolated productivity pod.

For example, you could move from a perfectly transit-connected Midtown location to a slightly less convenient spot in the Flatiron District, and add 10-15 minutes to that daily commute for most employees. However, the trade-off is that they gain access to Madison Square Park, incredible restaurants, and a neighborhood that feels alive.

You might find that employee satisfaction actually improves despite the longer travel time.

The “Good Enough” Trap

Here’s the real problem, though: most companies don’t make these trade-offs intentionally. They’ll fall in love with a space or a neighborhood without properly analyzing what they’re giving up commute-wise. Six months later, they’re dealing with turnover and complaints they could have predicted.

The commute isn’t always the top priority, but it should always be part of the equation. When you choose prestige over convenience, character over accessibility, or amenities over optimal transit access, that choice should be based on data, not your feelings.

Tools Tenants (and Brokers) Can Use

Good news, though: we don’t have to keep overlooking commute analysis. Over the past few years, I’ve started incorporating data tools into my site selection process to make it easier and faster to prioritize, and the difference is night and day. Instead of guessing how a move will impact your team, we can map it out with real numbers.

The key is matching the right tool to the right situation. A 12-person startup needs a different approach than a major law firm with employees scattered across three states. Here’s how I scale the analysis based on team size and complexity.

Start Simple: Metro Manhattan’s Commute Calculator

For smaller teams—say 5 to 25 people—Metro Manhattan’s Commute Calculator gets the job done. You punch in home addresses and potential office locations, and it tells you average commute times across transit modes.

I can run scenarios during site visits and immediately eliminate locations that look good but would destroy people’s daily travel. Takes 10 minutes to set up and saves months of headaches later. Perfect for teams mostly living in the boroughs who take public transit.

Scale Up: Placer.ai for the Complex Stuff

Once you hit 30+ employees or have people scattered around, I pull out Placer.ai. The tool goes beyond calculating travel times and shows foot traffic, demographics, and even where your competitors are setting up shop.

What I also love is how it handles real commuting. Your people aren’t just taking the subway. They’re driving to Metro-North, biking to ferries, combining Ubers with buses. Placer.ai maps all of that and shows you what your workforce’s actual commute picture looks like.

Plus the visualizations make presentations way easier. Instead of explaining why Location A beats Location B, I show heat maps that make the choice obvious.

TravelTime for the Route Obsessed

TravelTime is my secret weapon for larger, more complex searches. The platform maps every possible route—subway, bus, bike, car, walking, combinations of everything.

What sets TravelTime apart is its real-time integration with transit data. The tool doesn’t just tell you the theoretical subway commute; it factors in typical delays, service changes, and rush hour variations. For clients with flexible work arrangements, you can model different arrival times and see how commute options change throughout the day.

I would, for instance, use TravelTime for a 150-person company considering three different neighborhoods in Manhattan. The analysis could reveal that while one location has the best average commute time, another location offers much more consistent travel times with fewer variables. That consistency, in my eyes, matters more to clients than shaving off a few minutes of average travel time.

Employee Surveys and Green Points

For companies wanting employee input or sustainability tracking, I bring in CommuteIQ, KINTO Join, or CommuteSaver. These combine commute analysis with surveys and environmental impact.

CommuteIQ excels at gathering employee preferences through smart surveys that go beyond “where do you live?” The tool asks about commute mode preferences, willingness to try new routes, and factors that matter most in daily travel decisions. KINTO Join tracks bike-shares, ride-pooling, the whole multi-modal picture. CommuteSaver calculates carbon footprint changes for ESG-focused clients.

How Commute Analysis Shapes Site Selection

Here’s where the rubber meets the road. All these tools and data points mean nothing unless they help you make better location decisions. Let me show you how commute analysis works in practice with a hypothetical scenario.

Picture a 75-person company with employees spread across Brooklyn, Queens, and northern New Jersey. The leadership team is debating between Midtown and Downtown. Both locations sound reasonable on paper, but running the commute numbers reveals which choice works better for their actual workforce.

The data doesn’t make the final decision, but it most definitely eliminates relying on gut instincts and gives you real factors to weigh. Here’s what the analysis would likely show:

  • Geographic Clustering Tells the Real Story: Mapping where people live reveals most employees cluster in northwest Brooklyn and western Queens. Downtown forces everyone through Lower Manhattan’s limited transit options, while Midtown offers multiple direct subway lines and bus routes.
  • Transit Mode Matters More Than Raw Travel Time: The Brooklyn crew currently bikes or walks to work, but Midtown would push them onto packed subway cars during rush hour. Meanwhile, the Queens contingent already takes the subway and wouldn’t see much change either way.
  • Reliability Beats Speed: This data point especially applies to parents and commuters with tight schedules. Downtown might show 5 minutes shorter average commute times, but Midtown provides backup options when the L train inevitably breaks down. People with daycare pickup deadlines care more about consistency than shaving off a few minutes.
  • Cross-Borough Complexity Hides in Averages: The New Jersey employees face completely different scenarios—brutal PATH-to-subway transfers for downtown versus direct bus routes to Midtown. Individual impact varies wildly depending on starting point and preferred transportation.
  • Numbers Inform the Choice but Don’t Make It: The commute analysis might favor Midtown, but the final decision still depends on available spaces, neighborhood culture, rent costs, and company priorities. Data just prevents you from accidentally screwing over half your workforce.

Closing Perspective: Data Supports Smart Decisions, Doesn’t Make Them

AI commute analysis tools won’t replace 20 years of market knowledge or eliminate the need to weigh prestige, security, and lifestyle factors. Instead, they do something better: they give you facts to work with instead of assumptions.

The goal has always been the same: help tenants land in locations that work for their business and their people. Now I can approach that goal with actual data backing up my recommendations. Your team’s commute matters, your company culture matters, your budget matters. The difference is the ability to finally measure and balance all these factors instead of crossing our fingers and hoping it works out.

 

Alan Rosinsky, Principal Broker, Metro Manhattan Office Space
ABOUT THE AUTHOR Alan Rosinsky Principal Broker, Metro Manhattan Office Space Alan Rosinsky is the founder of Metro Manhattan Office Space, a firm that has represented office and retail tenants in New York City since 2004. He has negotiated over 400 leases with major landlords and managing agents, acting exclusively on behalf of tenants. Clients across industries — from tech and private equity to healthcare and fashion — rely on his expertise to secure strategically located space on favorable terms. A New Yorker since 1983, Alan has been quoted in The New York Times and Commercial Observer. View his background on LinkedIn

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